Hiroki Moriya vs Rio Noguchi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Noguchi's recent second serve win rate is 43.68%, slightly lower than Moriya's 45.55%. Could this give Moriya a small edge?
• Analyzing return game stats, Moriya again leads with a 47.75% win rate on opponents' second serves compared to Noguchi's 46.42%.
• In first serve returns, Moriya captures 29.69% of points, surpassing Noguchi’s 27.06%.
• When under pressure, Noguchi excels in saving breakpoints with 50.33%, slightly more effective than Moriya’s 49%.
• Overall, Noguchi boasts a higher match win rate over the past year at 60.87% against Moriya's 55.56%.
• Both players favor grass courts, but Noguchi has a slightly higher win percentage on grass at 64% compared to Moriya’s 54%.
• Noguchi performs better in lower-tier tournaments, winning 57.63% of Challenger/ITF matches, while Moriya lags behind at 48.89%.
• Head-to-head history is evenly matched with each player winning twice; however, Noguchi has won 6 of the 10 sets played.
• Their last encounter saw Noguchi dominating with a 6-1, 6-2 victory on a hard court.
• In extreme pressure situations, Moriya has won the sole tiebreak between them and has a better record in deciding sets head-to-head.
• Noguchi fares better in deciding sets overall, having won 80% in the last year compared to Moriya’s 62% success rate.
• Both players have nearly identical break point conversion rates recently, with Noguchi at 32.34% and Moriya at 32.89%.

Editorial Prediction (July 1, 2025, UTC):

With both Noguchi and Moriya showing strengths in different areas, this match promises to be competitive. Noguchi has a slight edge in overall match win percentage and recent victories over Moriya, which could provide a confidence boost.

Moriya’s return game presents a potential advantage, but Noguchi’s ability to perform well under pressure and dominate in recent direct meetings cannot be overlooked.

On a neutral surface like hard court, Noguchi’s recent head-to-head success and higher performance in deciding sets suggest he might have the upper hand.

Our prediction leans towards Rio Noguchi emerging as the likely winner of this match.